N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed text je voln\u00fdm p\u0159episem informace, vys\u00edlan\u00e9 v ned\u011bli r\u00e1no mezi 07:15 \u2013 07:30 m\u00edstn\u00edho \u010dasu na kmito\u010dtu 3773 kHz. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u0159edpov\u011bdi minima jeden\u00e1ctilet\u00e9ho cyklu (tj. konce 24. a po\u010d\u00e1tku 25. cyklu) podle jednotliv\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bdn\u00edch center:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SIDC – kombinovan\u00e1 metoda: z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a\u017e \u0159\u00edjen 2018 (!)
SIDC – klasick\u00e1 metoda: z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a\u017e \u0159\u00edjen 2019
Australsk\u00fd meteorologick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad (R): srpen 2019
Australsk\u00fd meteorologick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad (T): leden a\u017e b\u0159ezen 2020
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA – SWPC: 2022 – 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Jistotu\n co se t\u00fd\u010de po\u010d\u00e1tku 25. cyklu budeme m\u00edt teprve a\u017e za\u010dne slune\u010dn\u00ed \naktivita d\u00e9le a strm\u011bji r\u016fst – alespo\u0148 v \u0159\u00e1du m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. P\u0159edt\u00edm se za\u010dnou \nna Slunci hojn\u011bji objevovat aktivn\u00ed oblasti s opa\u010dnou magnetickou \npolaritou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u0159ehled hlavn\u00edch index\u016f aktivity za posledn\u00ed t\u00fdden,
tj. za 10. – 16. 2. 2019:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Den:\t\t\t
10\t11\t12\t13\t14\t15\t16
Slune\u010dn\u00ed tok – DRAO Penticton:
70\t70\t70\t70\t71\t71\t71
Index geomanetick\u00e9 aktivity A – Bouder:
6\t9\t6\t13\t10\t4\t3
Index geomanetick\u00e9 aktivity A – Wingst:
8\t10\t5\t11\t12\t4\t3<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dosavadn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Slune\u010dn\u00ed\n aktivita z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00edzk\u00e1 a Slunce je v\u011bt\u0161inou beze skvrn (nyn\u00ed od 31. \nledna). Geomagnetick\u00e1 aktivita je v\u011bt\u0161inou n\u00edzk\u00e1. Podm\u00ednky \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed se \nd\u00edky bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmu se jaru velmi pozvolna zlep\u0161uj\u00ed s mal\u00fdmi v\u00fdkyvy na ob\u011b \nstrany, maj\u00edc\u00edmi sp\u00ed\u0161e charakter n\u00e1hodn\u00fdch fluktuac\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u0159edpov\u011bdi:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Slune\u010dn\u00ed od Martiny Exnerov\u00e9:
\u00darove\u0148 aktivity: v\u011bt\u0161inou velmi n\u00edzk\u00e1
Rentgenov\u00fd tok pozad\u00ed (1,0-8,0 A): v rozsahu A0.0-A1.8
R\u00e1diov\u00fd tok (10,7 cm): fluktuace v rozsahu 67-71 f.u.
Erupce: t\u0159\u00edda C (0 \/ obdob\u00ed), t\u0159\u00edda M (0 \/ obdob\u00ed), t\u0159\u00edda X (0 \/ obdob\u00ed), proton (0 \/ obdob\u00ed)
Relativn\u00ed po\u010det slune\u010dn\u00edch skvrn (Ri): v rozsahu 0-25<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Geomagnetick\u00e9 pole bude:
klidn\u00e9 17. a 24. \u2013 26. \u00fanora
klidn\u00e9 a\u017e neust\u00e1len\u00e9 18. a 27, \u00fanora a 3. – 4., 6. \u2013 7. a 10. \u2013 11. b\u0159ezna,
klidn\u00e9 a\u017e aktivn\u00ed 23. \u00fanora a 5., 8. \u2013 9. a 13. b\u0159ezna
neust\u00e1len\u00e9 a\u017e aktivn\u00ed 19. a 22. \u00fanora a 1. \u2013 2. a 12. b\u0159ezna
aktivn\u00ed a\u017e naru\u0161en\u00e9 20. \u00fanora (a\u017e 21. \u00fanora) a 28. \u00fanora
Slune\u010dn\u00ed v\u00edtr zintenzivn\u00ed v \u00fanoru (19.), 20. \u2013 21., (22., 28.) a v b\u0159eznu (1. \u2013 3., 6. \u2013 9., 13.) <\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u00fdvoj\n podm\u00ednek \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed KV: v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech a t\u00fddnech m\u016f\u017eeme po\u010d\u00edtat s \npostupn\u00fdm pomal\u00fdm a velmi m\u00edrn\u00fdm zlep\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm v souvislosti s bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edm se\n jarem. Tento v\u00fdvoj bude p\u0159eru\u0161ov\u00e1n poruchami (zejm\u00e9na kolem 20. \u00fanora) a\n velmi z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, ve kter\u00e9 denn\u00ed dob\u011b porucha nastartuje. Bude-li to\n v denn\u00ed dob\u011b (ide\u00e1ln\u011b odpoledne), m\u016f\u017ee za\u010d\u00edt tzv. kladnou f\u00e1z\u00ed, b\u011bhem \nn\u00ed\u017e rostou nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pou\u017eiteln\u00e9 kmito\u010dty a kles\u00e1 \u00fatlum. A naopak, zejm\u00e9na\n za\u010dne-li porucha jindy, zejm\u00e9na pak ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b noci, m\u016f\u017ee za\u010d\u00edt \nrovnou tzv. z\u00e1pornou f\u00e1z\u00ed s poklesem nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch pou\u017eiteln\u00fdch kmito\u010dt\u016f a \nvzr\u016fstem \u00fatlumu. U del\u0161\u00edch poruch obvykle pokra\u010duje z\u00e1porn\u00e1 f\u00e1ze, i kdy\u017e\n p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 v\u00fdjimka potvrd\u00ed pravidlo (tak jednou, dvakr\u00e1t za rok). \nSlune\u010dn\u00ed v\u00edtr m\u016f\u017ee v z\u00e1vislosti na stavu ionosf\u00e9ry jak p\u0159isp\u011bt \n\u010d\u00e1sticovou ionizac\u00ed (a zv\u00fd\u0161it MUF) tak i p\u0159isp\u011bt k v\u00fdskytu nehomogenit \n(a zv\u00fd\u0161it \u00fatlum).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
73 ES HPE CU
Franta, OK1HH\n\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed text je voln\u00fdm p\u0159episem informace, vys\u00edlan\u00e9 v ned\u011bli r\u00e1no mezi 07:15 \u2013 07:30 m\u00edstn\u00edho \u010dasu na kmito\u010dtu 3773 kHz. P\u0159edpov\u011bdi minima jeden\u00e1ctilet\u00e9ho cyklu (tj. konce 24. a po\u010d\u00e1tku 25. cyklu) podle jednotliv\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bdn\u00edch center: SIDC – kombinovan\u00e1 metoda: z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a\u017e \u0159\u00edjen 2018 (!)SIDC – klasick\u00e1 metoda: z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a\u017e \u0159\u00edjen\u010ct\u011bte d\u00e1le…<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":259,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-ok1hh","post-258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-predpovedi-sireni-kv"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/258"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=258"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/258\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":438,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/258\/revisions\/438"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ok5cav.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}